A Super Bowl Betting Tip

With the NFL playoff field set, bettors have the opportunity to match-up true odds against what the sports books are offering on conference and Super Bowl futures.
The futures odds around town for the various playoffs vary greatly. The differences in the odds are usually based on the risk a particular book has built up since February, when the first futures numbers for the 2013-14 season were posted.
But rather than betting a team to win the Super Bowl on futures odds, you may be better off betting the various playoffs. For example, San Francisco has to win four games along the way to even get to the Super Bowl! Thus, if you simply bet the Niners on the money line each game while rolling over your winnings from the previous week, you could increase your payout. To get an idea on what the payout might be, multiply the money line for each of their possible games.
LVH futures: Super Bowl odds and the SuperBook
In some cases, you can find true odds in future prices, such as the LVH’s number on the Broncos to win the AFC at 5-to-8 (-160). However, Denver has to win only two games to cash, and if they face the Colts and Patriots, their likeliest opponents, you cannot do much better if rolling the money over.
If you are looking for long shots, rolling the money over is definitely the best way to go. The Chargers are 17-to-1 to win the AFC, but if they win at Cincinnati (+250), at Denver (+300), and at New England (+200), that combination pays 41-to-1, which is not a “bad” payoff!
Generally, the money-line favorite is usually offered at longer odds than in the regular season during the playoff season. That’s because the public likes to take a crack with the underdog winning outright for the chance to bet a little to win a lot.
Another advantage to rolling the money over is that you are not locked in like future wagers. You can stop and bank the money at anytime, or at least pull out a portion of the profits.
If you want to bet a team to win the Super Bowl, then my advice is to play that team on the money line each week and roll the winnings, or a portion of them, to the next game
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