Baseball Revenge System

This article is another in a series of my baseball strategies systems.

The Major League Baseball season, as most sports bettors know, is twice as long as any other sport and playing back-to-back games is the rule, rather than the exception. With so many games on the schedule, it is both physically and mentally impossible for a team to be motivated for every single game, which is one reason why the top teams win around 60 percent of their games, while the worst teams will generally win around 40 percent of their games.

In my opinion, I think that one of the keys for sports bettors is to try and predict when teams will be “up” for a game. Once again, I believe that there are two situations in baseball, when a team is likely to give that extra effort. Both of these involve being previously humiliated by their opponent and having something to prove.

This is where the baseball revenge system comes into play!

1. Baseball’s Quick Revenge System

This baseball revenge system involves teams that are playing at home and were defeated by three or more runs the previous game by the same team they are playing today. This team was embarrassed in front of the home fans and is likely to wanting to return the favor in the worst possible way.
The one requirement of this system is that the team we are looking to wager on is favored in the game. The reason for this is that we want to make sure the team we are wagering on is fairly comparable in ability to the team they just lost to, or that we have a big advantage in the starting pitchers.

This baseball revenge system makes sense since we are betting on a team that should be motivated.

2. Baseball’s Long-Term Revenge System

This system does NOT take place right away, as here we are looking for teams that were swept in a series to bounce back with at least one win the next time the two teams meet.

An additional stipulations that I would add to this system is taking the team on the run line (+ 1.5 runs) if they are the underdog and wagering on the money line if the team is the favorite.
However, I would also add that once the team that was swept in the previous series wins a game in the new series, then the system comes to an end, as the team has accomplished its primary goal of not getting swept again!

As always, keep in mind that systems are best used as a supplement to your normal handicapping method and not as a stand-alone method of predicting the outcomes of games.
If your handicapping implies a wager on a team that falls into either system, you can feel a little more confident about your chances of winning, however!